Globally incumbents whether in autocratic or democratic
countries have historically been notoriously difficult to dislodge despite high
turnover of staff through executions, resignations or scandal depending on the
type of government.
One need not engage in any profound research to realize that
there are particular historical cycles in which the outcome has already been cosmically
pre-ordained. It’s only a question of how it will be reached. In the forensic
analysis the facts & figures are simply “backed in” to support and justify
the result. There’s no scientific proof or logic to this perspective, merely
the universal law of mega-trends.
This projection is not about politics rather about mega-trends
seeking a balance which sometimes defy all logic and statistics. Sometimes it
seems as if a confluence of events and circumstances conspire to arrive at an
outcome as close to inevitable as you can uncomfortably imagine.
In a dramatic shift from the historical norm of presidential
profiles, Obama and Trump are outliers. Each was the proverbial bumblebee in
its own way scientifically “proven” to be aerodynamically impossible to fly. Yet
not only does it fly it thrives and is essential to nature.
Against all odds, Obama got elected to the US presidency
despite being as a man of color, whose father was a Muslim, less than a decade
after the 9/11 attacks that fueled anti-Muslim sentiment in the US. As a
Democrat, he was the forward-looking, inclusive, internationalist, progressive
thinking leader during the dawn of a supposedly post-racial society in which a
non-Caucasian can achieve the highest office.
Against all odds Trump got elected to the US presidency
despite never having held a political office and losing the popular vote by
almost 2 million. As a Republican, he is the inward-looking, divisive,
nationalist seeking to revert to the country to a segregationist and supposedly
happier society that made the country prosperous. Trump achieved the leadership
mantle riding the wave of particularly nasty political backlash following
Obama’s two-term presidency.
Additionally despite endless scandals and resignations under
the current administration, the universe seeks balance. This means facts &
figures are mere illusions and that the GOP will not only secure both houses in
the upcoming mid-term elections but also secure a second presidential term in
2020.
This cosmic balance is achieved because Obama and Trump are equally
unusually powerful disruptors from different sides of the coin.
At the same time Obama and Trump each has several critical commonalities
that make them outliers:
·
Uncommon
pioneers: person of color and non-politician.
·
Under-estimated
because of the more experienced competition within each one’s respective
parties for nomination.
·
Unelectable
because their victories were thought to be a fluke and would be one-term
leaders.
·
Un-re-electable
because of unrelenting blowtorch criticism and dissatisfaction during their
tenure.
During their campaigns Obama and Trump were each thought of
as a short-term diversion as one-term leaders. After they reached the
proverbial political mountaintop they were labeled as one-off flukes because of
unique circumstances. However during their first term, each one has been
surprisingly robust and enduring despite the hyper-aggressive tactics by the
political opposition. The reason is each one found the “secret sauce” to enable
a second-term victory.
For this reason I believe that Trump will more than likely
mirror Obama’s back-to-back two-term duration of leadership. Regardless how
many highly qualified candidates the Democrats put forth for the upcoming
midterms and further along for the presidential election, Trump and the GOP
will prevail simply because of the universe’s insatiable quest for balance and
symmetry. Of course nothing is inevitable however this is an unfolding
mega-trend that’s as close to a slam dunk as you can imagine.
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Indo-Brazilian Associates LLC 2018. All rights reserved.
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